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Ray200002-15-2010 07:36 AM

Longshots for 2/15

Monday, February 15, 2010
Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and Key Box Exactas

The BigM R4..........8 w/5,2 ...Get It Now-12/1........TMaster class shift 92 to 84

Northfield R7..........9 w/4,3,1 .Magic Dart-8/1.........Trails a contender

Woodbine R4.........3 w/6,5 ...Hide The Cash-10/1....Sharp enough

Woodbine R9.........6 w/8,2 ...Thavage Boy-7/1 .......Long mile missed by 2 len

Yonkers R2...........5 w/4,6 ...Billboard King-15/1.....Slow pace in last hurt

Good Luck All


jefftune02-15-2010 02:05 PM

Woodbine horses to watch 2/15:

THAVAGE BOY (9th) - that was a tough first over trip last week.
ONE MORE DRINK (7th)
- also had a very tough first over trip

AS TUFF AS NAILS (11th) - I've been waiting for him to race back - had no chance at all last out when boxed and shuffled back. He was a tough first over the race before that. The only problem tonight is that he faces a very sharp horse in Zander Massimo.


Not4Love02-15-2010 02:22 PM

Meadowlands 4th

Ray2000,
Can you explain why you liked this horse today? I'm pretty new to this game. The guys on tvg could not undertand why this horse was 2-1. Especially after getting beat at this level two back. I can see the 26.4 final quarter so that makes some sense. Thanks. Not4Love


Ray200002-15-2010 02:54 PM

Not4love

I'm not sure of the reference to TVG and 2/1 (12/1? ML) but here's what caught my attention.

He's a 4 yr old who's been mostly going against tougher pacers in late closing series, the Clyde hurt and Exit 16. The one pp line in an overnight was this same class on Jan 29 and that's where he put up that 26-4 FQT closing from the 9 hole, missing only by 3 lengths.

He has the best LTM (except for #4's 1:51-2 CNL) and is showing improving form (last race he tried to keep up in a 1:50-4 race, the fastest he's gone).

The foes he faces tonight are nowhere near as strong, Trackmaster has this field rated at 84. The biggest negatives are The driver, 9% wins 55 starts, and the 8 hole, doesn't show gate speed but not many in here do, (Maybe the 3 but he's been off too long to try the front end?). 4 yr olds can sometimes surprise with new found talent and show speed if the situation allows.

So that makes him a good longshot IMHO

Anyway best of luck!!!


Ray200002-15-2010 05:48 PM

Quote:

The foes he faces tonight....

Now I understand the reference to 2/1

I made my bets at noon, turned off the computer until 3:00, came back on ...answered not4love's question, came back again now (5:45) and discovered the races are over at the bigM.:lol:

Senior Citizen Moment:D


Not4Love02-15-2010 07:11 PM

ray2000

ok. Thanks a lot. I enjoy reading your comments.


Ray200002-15-2010 10:17 PM

Results:

A Good Day...

The BigM R4..........815 Winner $5.20 (but conditional bet didn't go thru)
Northfield R7.........394 Exacta $76.60 ...................tri $409 if key boxing
Woodbine R4.........467 no
Woodbine R9.........269 Exacta $79.80
Yonkers R2...........452 Exacta $31.80

Win/Exacta bets In $52, Back $188, net +$136


willphorse02-15-2010 11:02 PM

Another fabulous night Ray. May I ask something though!

Do you look at every program everyday and cap them all?

Basically I am curious as to how you find playable races, because whatever you are doing, its working, and its working fabulously!

Keep it up Ray! :jump: :jump: :jump:


Ray200002-16-2010 06:04 AM

Thanks will

I download the data files for all tracks from Trackmaster each day and then use a homemade computer program to search the cards for certain types of races and create an 'Odds Line' for the entries. It then generates a playlist file which I upload to my YouBet account for wagering. (I have to use other ADWs for Mea, Pcd, Chs, Btv and Rock, and bet them manually). Here's my playlist for today, in YouBet format.

DDX@US,02/16/2010,1,EXA,$2.00,7/4
DDX@US,02/16/2010,1,TRI,$2.00,7/4/3
DDX@US,02/16/2010,3,EXA,$2.00,9/4
DDX@US,02/16/2010,5,EXA,$2.00,5/9
DDX@US,02/16/2010,5,TRI,$2.00,5/9/4
DDX@US,02/16/2010,12,WIn,$2.00,1
DDX@US,02/16/2010,12,EXA,$2.00,1/6
DDX@US,02/16/2010,12,TRI,$2.00,1/6/4
KDX@CA,02/16/2010,5,EXA,$2.00,6/2
KDX@CA,02/16/2010,5,TRI,$2.00,6/2/8
KDX@CA,02/16/2010,8,EXA,$2.00,3/9
KDX@CA,02/16/2010,8,TRI,$2.00,3/9/2
LON@CA,02/16/2010,9,EXA,$2.00,7/2
LON@CA,02/16/2010,9,TRI,$2.00,7/2/1
LON@CA,02/16/2010,10,EXA,$2.00,8/1
LON@CA,02/16/2010,10,TRI,$2.00,8/1/2
MRX@US,02/16/2010,1,WIn,$2.00,7
MRX@US,02/16/2010,1,EXA,$2.00,7/2
MRX@US,02/16/2010,3,WIn,$2.00,1
MRX@US,02/16/2010,3,EXA,$2.00,1/6
NFL@US,02/16/2010,9,WIn,$2.00,5
NFL@US,02/16/2010,9,EXA,$2.00,5/2
WIN@CA,02/16/2010,8,EXA,$2.00,3/5
WIN@CA,02/16/2010,9,WIn,$2.00,2
WIN@CA,02/16/2010,9,EXA,$2.00,2/1
YRX@US,02/16/2010,2,EXA,$2.00,1/3
YRX@US,02/16/2010,2,TRI,$2.00,1/3/2
YRX@US,02/16/2010,9,EXA,$2.00,4/8
YRX@US,02/16/2010,9,TRI,$2.00,4/8/2
YRX@US,02/16/2010,10,EXA,$2.00,6/8

at TwinSpires
MEA R8 8/3,2 Rock N Roll Star-5/2
MEA R15 8/2,1 Sharkler-6/1

For my picks that I post here at PACE, I pull out the races where the Pick1 is not in the top 3 of Morning Lines.
If I'm pressed for time, I'll post them here as "Raw Computer Picks" but I prefer to look them up in the race program and do some old fashioned handicapping to strike out the silly ones or an obvious bad Morning Line on a favorite, and make a comment on why I like the pick.

Here's the Raw Picks for today

Dover R12...........1 w/6,4 ...Madges Lil Fortune-8/1
Meadows R5..........5 w/6,4 ...Captain Greg-10/1
Meadows R15.........8 w/2,1 ...Sharkler-6/1
Monticello R1.......7 w/2,3 ...Sexy Kim-4/1
Monticello R3.......1 w/6,2 ...Three Cam Island-4/1
Northfield R9.......5 w/2,4 ...Little Old Ladywho-9/2
Windsor R9..........2 w/1,7 ...Hallway To Heaven-5/1

I can tell by a quick look at the above that I'll probably look for a Pic3 bet at Monti R123
we'll see how they do...


willphorse02-16-2010 11:35 AM

Thanks for the reply Ray! Much appreciated!

Here are some of my own for tonight.

Betting win and Exacta Box

Dover Downs

Race 1
3 Lady Gamelton With 2,7
(1st Over brush attempt, didnt clear, and fell some. Better post)

Race 3
1 AllAmerican Redhot With 3,5,9
(6 Hole in last, parked, and fell late against brisk 56.4 pace. Draws rail)

Race 5
9 Play For Real With 1,5
(Decent form, good race in last, lost to good mare. Could get good trip)

Race 7
3 Jon Win With 2,5
(2nd at this class 3 back, Tried to brush in last, didnt clear. Draws good post)

Race 9
8 Alice's Restaraunt With 3,4,6
(Good form, draws outside. Could be long, and Morgan stays with.)

Good Luck


willphorse02-16-2010 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willphorse

Thanks for the reply Ray! Much appreciated!

Here are some of my own for tonight.

Betting win and Exacta Box

Dover Downs

Race 1
3 Lady Gamelton With 2,7
(1st Over brush attempt, didnt clear, and fell some. Better post)

Race 3
1 AllAmerican Redhot With 3,5,9
(6 Hole in last, parked, and fell late against brisk 56.4 pace. Draws rail)

Race 5
9 Play For Real With 1,5
(Decent form, good race in last, lost to good mare. Could get good trip)

Race 7
3 Jon Win With 2,5
(2nd at this class 3 back, Tried to brush in last, didnt clear. Draws good post)

Race 9
8 Alice's Restaraunt With 3,4,6
(Good form, draws outside. Could be long, and Morgan stays with.)

Good Luck

Todays Results

Race 1= 7-2-1
Race 3= 3-9-1.....FULL TRI Box Paid $628.60 but we didn't hit
Race 5= 4-5-2
Race 7= 1-3-6.....Place $17.20
Race 9= 4-7-9

Close on some bombs, but unfortunately no "winners"

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