P178-billion hike in PH debt interest payments hit (2024)

House Assistant Minority LeaderArlene Brosas —Photo from House of Representatives

MANILA, Philippines — House Assistant Minority Leader Arlene Brosas on Tuesday lambasted the increase in the debt servicing allocation in next year’s proposed P6.352 trillion budget at the expense of programs that are actually beneficial to Filipinos.

The Gabriela women’s party list representative pointed out that interest payments on debt would rise by P178 billion to P848 billion in the 2025 budget from P670.4 billion in last year’s General Appropriations Act.

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Brosas compared next year’s proposed budget to a “debt trap,” claiming that it was a “debt-driven disaster waiting to happen.”

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She criticized the Marcos administration’s borrowings, saying “each Filipino family now owes P558,114,” and questioned how the loans were spent.

The lawmaker noted that the government has borrowed an average of P204.7 billion monthly over 23 months, more than double the rate of the previous Duterte administration.

“The Marcos regime is burying us deeper in debt at an unprecedented pace, while failing to deliver tangible benefits to the masses,” she said.

Brosas also expressed concern over the allocation of P1.327 trillion, or 20.9 percent of the proposed 2025 budget, for the Build Better More program and other infrastructure projects.

“How can we justify pouring billions into grandiose infrastructure when basic social services remain severely underfunded? The people are not benefiting from these loans, yet they are burdened with paying them back,” she stressed.

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She called on her fellow lawmakers to scrutinize the proposed budget and realign funds to social services and programs that directly benefit the Filipino people.

“We cannot just pour the budget on debt servicing and infrastructure while Filipinos go hungry,” Brosas emphasized, urging budgetary priority for health, education and livelihood of Filipinos.

Manageable level

On Monday, Finance Secretary Ralph Recto said the Philippines’ outstanding debt that needed servicing remains high because loans made by the past administration to address the pandemic were still being repaid.

In a briefing on the proposed 2025 budget at the House of Representatives, Recto noted that the total debt in 2019 was only P7.7 trillion, but this nearly doubled to P13.4 trillion right after the pandemic as the Marcos administration took over.

“And because of all the geopolitical tensions, the cost of our borrowing has climbed postpandemic as central banks raised their interest rates to combat inflation. Therefore, we are now refinancing the large borrowings contracted during the low-interest rate period in 2020 to 2022 with new debts at higher interest rates. This is why our interest payments next year are higher by around 11 percent,” he explained.

The Duterte administration borrowed a record P2.74 trillion in 2020 to fund the government’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This was more than double the P1.02 trillion the government borrowed in 2019.

Recto also clarified that while the country’s debt, which is expected to reach P16.1 trillion by the end of this year, looks big, the proper measurement is the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio, as it is an indicator of a country’s ability to pay loans.

“We should not be alarmed by this, because the debt of a country should not be measured just by looking at its actual size. It’s better to compare it with the country’s economy because this is how we determine its ability to pay the loan, and one of the correct ways to measure is through the debt-to-GDP ratio,” Recto noted.

“If you would take a look at the Philippines’ debt-to-GDP ratio, we have started bringing it down from 60.9 (percent) in 2022, it’s now down to 60.1 in 2023, and we are determined to continue pushing it below 60 percent so we have enough buffer in case another crisis hits us,” he said.

Foreign lenders set a 60-percent threshold ratio as manageable for developing economies.

Record-high

The total government debt hit a new record high of P15.35 trillion at the end of May mainly due to the weakening of the local currency against the greenback, according to the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr).

BTr data showed that total state obligations increased by P330.39 billion in May, or 2.2 percent from the previous month.

It attributed the higher debt to “the impact of local currency depreciation on the valuation of foreign-currency-denominated debt.”

The peso weakened by 94 centavos to 58.52 against the dollar as of end-May from 57.58 in end-April.

Since the beginning of the year, total government liabilities have increased by P731.33 billion, or 5 percent.

Domestic borrowings, which accounted for 68.04 percent of the total debt, rose by 4.2 percent or P424.91 billion in the five months to May to P10.44 trillion. Meanwhile, outstanding external debts stood at P4.9 trillion in May.

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According to private economists, tax and fiscal reform measures would be needed to bring down the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio to less than the 60 percent international threshold.

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P178-billion hike in PH debt interest payments hit (2024)

FAQs

How much will the US interest payments on debt in 2024? ›

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that interest payments will total $892 billion in fiscal year 2024 and rise rapidly throughout the next decade — climbing from $1 trillion in 2025 to $1.7 trillion in 2034.

How much interest is paid on the national debt per day? ›

WASHINGTON (TND) — The nation's crippling debt of over $35 trillioncontinues to grow and to make matters worse, a new analysis showsthe U.S. pays an average of $3 billion in interest for the national debt every day. Apollo, a global asset management firm, is behind the new report.

What happens to national debt when interest rates rise? ›

The recent upturn in interest rates means the cost of financing government debt is more expensive. According to the U.S. Treasury, the average interest rate for all federal government-issued interest-bearing debt has jumped in recent years, to 3.28% as of June 30, 2024.

What is the relationship between government debt and interest rates? ›

Higher Interest Rates Will Raise Interest Costs on the National Debt. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which commercial banks lend to one another overnight, steady since July 26, 2023.

Who owns most of the US debt? ›

The Federal Government Has Borrowed Trillions, But Who Owns All that Debt?
  • Debt held by the public makes up nearly 80% of gross debt. ...
  • Two-thirds of public debt is held by domestic holders. ...
  • The Federal Reserve owns about a third of domestically held debt.
Aug 6, 2024

How much US debt does China own? ›

China is one of the United States's largest creditors, owning about $859.4 billion in U.S. debt. It doesn't own the most U.S. debt of any foreign country, however. Nations borrowing from each other may be as old as the concept of money.

Who does the US owe the most money to? ›

  • Japan.
  • China.
  • The United Kingdom.
  • Luxembourg.
  • Canada.

Which country is in the most debt? ›

Measuring by debt to GDP ratio, Lebanon's debt is the highest in the world, and the United States—which has the world's largest economy and highest GDP—drops to spot 12.

How much does each US citizen owe for national debt? ›

Current. * As of August 1, 2024, the U.S. Treasury's official figure for the debt of the federal government is $35.1 trillion, or more precisely, $35,059,402,347,142. [9] This equates to: $104,082 for every person living in the U.S.[10]

Why is the US in so much debt? ›

The U.S. tax system does not generate enough revenues to cover the spending policymakers have enacted. This rapidly growing imbalance between revenues and spending leads to higher and higher annual deficits, and the result is an increasing national debt balance.

Where does the US borrow money from? ›

The federal government borrows money from the public by issuing securities—bills, notes, and bonds—through the Treasury. Treasury securities are attractive to investors because they are: Backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government. Offered in a wide range of maturities.

Can the US pay off its debt? ›

Eliminating the U.S. government's debt is a Herculean task that could take decades. In addition to obvious steps, such as hiking taxes and slashing spending, the government could take a number of other approaches, some of them unorthodox and even controversial.

How much will the US debt interest payments be in 2024? ›

Interest payments on federal government debt are projected to reach $892 billion in 2024. This is more than the government is projected to spend on defense and almost a third higher than what the United States spent on debt interest payments in 2023.

How much interest does the federal government pay on debt? ›

U.S. monthly interest rate on interest-bearing debt 2019-2024. As of July 2024, the United States government has a monthly interest rate of 3.33 percent on its debt, continuing an upward trend in interest rates that began at the beginning of 2022. In April 2024, U.S. debt reached 34.62 trillion U.S. dollars.

Does the government make money when interest rates rise? ›

But when the short-term rates the Fed pays rise sufficiently to make its interest expenses greater than its interest earnings, the Fed loses money. It stops sending interest earnings to the Treasury.

What will loan interest rates be in 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall to the 6.6% by the end of 2024, while Fannie Mae and NAR predict rates will end the year around 6.7%. However, current mortgage rates are already technically below these levels.

What will the federal interest rate be in 2024? ›

The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at a 23-year high of 5.25%-5.50% for the 8th consecutive meeting in July 2024, in line with expectations. Policymakers noted that there has been some further progress toward the 2% inflation goal although it remains somewhat elevated.

What is the interest prediction for 2024? ›

By the end of 2024 the base rate is predicted to fall to nearly 4.60% before slowly falling to around 3.23% in 2029, as shown in the table below.

What is the projection for the US debt payments? ›

Over the next decade, the U.S. government's interest payments on the national debt are now projected to total $12.9 trillion — the highest dollar amount for interest in any historical 10-year period and more than double the total spent in the past two decades.

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